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The Wednesday HOT TAKE

The Wednesday HOT TAKE

July 24

Jul 24, 2024
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No Bull
No Bull
The Wednesday HOT TAKE
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There is still time to reserve your spot at Summit 24, August 7-8 in St. Louis.

Here is a peek at Thursday’s agenda:

For more information & to register click HERE.

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What’s HOT

Sizzle or fizzle?

Although soybean oil has fizzled a bit the past couple weeks (after its ~15% run to start the month), the front month contract is still sizzling.

Sunday I talked about bean oil’s forward curve, illustrating the inverse as nearby futures are trading higher than deferred months. Click HERE for the post

For additional context I added the curve from June 28 - prior to oil’s big rally.

Comparing today’s blue line with the orange line for June 28 - the rally was confined in the front-end months, reflecting a tight old crop market.

Deferred months (new crop and beyond), on the other hand, have actually lost ground in July.

HOT topic:

Can you believe we have 3 more months of this? (and likely then some)

Another HOT topic…

A map of extremes:

Another:

Driven by last week’s below-average temps:

Let’s back up a bit and look precipitation departures from April 1 through yesterday, in inches, by state:

All eyes are on August as forecasts are trending much warmer in the weeks ahead.

The clip below shows how the 8-14 temp outlook has progressed over the past week:

Here is today’s update where the impending dome of doom intensified and expanded, yet again:

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